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Let’s Talk About Correlation

Let’s talk about correlation.  For most teams, the season is over or just about to wrap up.  With a season’s worth of data available, you can really start to see what stats most correlate to scoring margin. What is correlation? When two numbers are positively correlated, that means as one goes up, so does the …

The Value of a Rebound: Part 2

We talked a few weeks back about valuing a rebound in some form or fashion.  We can’t really continue that conversation without talking about expected value.  Expected value is a little different than points per possession. Points per possession simply takes your points and divides by possessions so any offensive rebounds are factored in there …

The True Value of a Rebound

Last week we tweeted out that we were working on a new stat.  I thought I would expand upon that here.  It could turn into a stat but it’s at the very least a study on what you can measure about a single rebound. My first thought was how it affects your field goal percentage.  …

Assisting Teammates

Assist percentage is the percentage of a team’s assists accounted for by a player while they’re in the game, factoring in the total number of baskets a team makes during that time as well.  For the whole team, this would be 100%.  Rather than focus on that stat, we’re going to look at the percentage …

DEE-FENSE!

This week let’s take a look at a couple of defensive stats: Steal Percentage and Block Percentage. Let’s start with the definitions. Steal percentage is the percentage of opponent possessions that end in a steal. Block percentage is the percentage of two-point shots blocked by a team. Two things to note on block percentage: 1. …

Valuing Possessions

Let’s talk about how many points the last ten champs have scored per possession. The whole goal of measuring points in this manner is to do what we math geeks call ‘normalize’ the data. In other words, if one team plays at a really high pace, they will more likely than not score more points …

Where Do The Points Come From?

Where do the points come from? This week’s look at the Last Ten Champs is a little bit of a sequel to the entry a few weeks ago about how much teams rely on three-pointers. Here we’re going to look at the points distribution for each level. In other words, what percentage of their points …

Defensive Shooting Percentages

We’ve looked at the offensive shooting numbers for the last ten champions, this week we’re taking a look at the defensive shooting percentages. On the men’s side, D1 was the stingiest for true shooting percentage at 50.1% but it was a tight range with D2 at the highest figure 52.3% For effective field goal percentage, …

Put the Ball in the Basket!

How well do you need to shoot the ball to win it all? As we continue our look at the Last Ten Champions at each level, we come to the analysis of shooting percentages. Namely, True Shooting Percentage and Effective Field Goal Percentage. As a refresher from previous blog entries, True Shooting Percentage factors in …